11.10.2008

Putin v Obama: the Ukraine...a thought experiment

The more that I think about, the more that I am convinced that it will be Vladimir Putin that will test Barack Obama like Joe Biden predicted. First, with oil prices in a free fall, there is only so long that Putin can wait until permanent damage is done the Russian economy. The Ukraine is located strategically by the Odessa/Brody pipeline. Putin no doubt noticed that Europe was weak when he brazenly invaded Georgia. Finally, he must be licking his chops to test the mettle of this foreign policy novice.

Domestically, President Obama would face a very difficult situation in any confrontation with Vladimir Putin. With the economy top priority, it's unclear just how much preparation President Obama would make in such a confrontation. Russia has already rattled sabres with little notice.

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